Chest Thumping Is Understanable...But What's Behind ISRO's Project Delays

India's space program, spearheaded by the Indian Space Research Organisation
(ISRO), has long been a source of national pride.
Yet, 2025 brought a series
of setbacks that tempered the enthusiasm. While chest-thumping over
achievements is understandable, a closer examination reveals persistent
project delays and partial failures that demand scrutiny.
The year kicked off with significant delays in the Space Docking Experiment
(SpaDeX) Mission. This crucial technology demonstrator, aimed at proving
ISRO's capability to dock and undock satellites in orbit, was originally
slated for the first week of January. It finally occurred in March,
highlighting early scheduling woes.
ISRO's first launch of 2025, the NVS-02 mission on 29 January, marked the
organisation's 100th liftoff. Part of the NavIC constellation to rival the US
GPS, it achieved a near-perfect ascent but failed to place the satellite in
its intended orbit. Currently non-operational for NavIC, scientists are
exploring alternative uses, underscoring a partial setback.
The subsequent PSLV-C61 mission with the Earth Observation Satellite (EOS-9)
on 18 May fared worse. A third-stage malfunction led to an abort midway,
rendering it the second failed attempt of the year. Such mishaps, though not
uncommon in rocketry, tested ISRO's resilience.
Experts like Lieutenant-General Anil Kumar Bhatt, Director General of the
Indian Space Association (ISpA), contextualise these as par for the course.
"In rocket science, failures are bound to happen; it isn’t solely an ISRO
factor," he notes. He cites Chandrayaan as evidence of ISRO's learning curve
from adversity.
Amid the disappointments, NISAR stood out as a resounding triumph. This
NASA-ISRO collaboration deployed a dual L-Band and S-Band radar satellite,
offering unprecedented Earth observation. It marked the year's sole major
success, bolstering bilateral ties.
Two LVM-3 launches redeemed the latter half. In November, the CMS-03
communication satellite for the Indian Navy soared successfully. The year's
finale, the BlueBird Block-2 commercial mission for US firm ATS SpaceMobile,
further showcased ISRO's heavy-lift prowess.
Delays plagued other ventures too. The uncrewed Gaganyaan flight, eyed for
late 2025, slipped again, now projected for 2027. NVS-03, earmarked
post-NVS-02's hiccup, also missed its slot. Even the debut industry-built
PSLV, anticipated by end-2025, shifted to 2026.
The private sector's slow ramp-up exacerbates these issues. India's Space
Policy 2023 flung open doors to private players across launch vehicles,
satellites, and beyond. Over 350 startups have emerged, from Skyroot to
Pixxel, yet none bar Skyroot nears a 2026 rocket debut.
Launch infrastructure remains a bottleneck. Most private efforts will rely on
ISRO's Sriharikota pads, as the new Kulasekarapattinam port in Tamil Nadu
years away from readiness. This dependency hampers scalability.
Contracts to giants like Hindustan Aeronautics Limited (HAL) and Larsen &
Toubro (L&T) for PSLV production signal intent. Yet, as Bhatt observes,
"They are still learning." Without swift funding and ISRO facility access,
private replacement of ISRO—or global competition—remains distant.
Contrast this with SpaceX, NASA's 2006 contractor turned juggernaut. Two
decades and billions on, it boasts nearly 600 missions and the reusable
Falcon-9 launch vehicle. Indian start-ups, lured by SpaceX rideshares at
$3,25,000 for 50 kg, highlight the cost chasm.
Fewer commercial launches stem from ISRO's pivot to ambitious endeavours.
Gaganyaan, Bharatiya Antariksh Station (BAS), Chandrayaan-4 and -5, plus Mars
and Venus missions, consume vast resources. Commander Sarup Kumar explains the
manpower shuffle: top talent from crew modules, propulsion, and launches
funnels into human spaceflight, diluting other efforts.
Launches alone do not define success, per Bhatt. Satellite sophistication,
constellations like NavIC, lunar probes, and human flight build sovereign
capabilities no ally shares. SpaDeX and forthcoming Quantum Key Distribution
experiments pave paths to BAS and lunar crewed missions, enhancing defence
space too.
Economics factor in. LVM-3 excels in heavy lifts, but low-Earth orbit
dominance by SpaceX makes competition futile. "There’s no point competing with
SpaceX in the LEO," notes analyst Kumar.
Global space trends favour cooperation over rivalry. Bhatt challenges launch
tallies: SpaceX, not nations, led 2025 volumes through scaled production and
affordability. ISRO shines in partnerships like NISAR and Axiom-4, which sent
India's first astronaut to the ISS.
These feats position ISRO uniquely. As Bhatt asserts, "ISRO is doing what only
ISRO can do." While delays persist, strategic focus on indigenous tech and
alliances fortifies India's cosmic ambitions against fleeting launch metrics.
Here's a detailed summary of ISRO's 2025 missions, delays, and key context, structured for clarity:
| Mission | Type | Planned Date | Status | Result | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SpaDeX | Tech Demo (Docking) | Jan 2025 (Week 1) | Mar 2025 | Success | Delayed by 2+ months; proved docking/undocking capability |
| NVS-02 | NavIC (Navigation) | 29 Jan 2025 | 29 Jan 2025 | Partial Failure | ISRO's 100th launch; satellite not in correct orbit, non-operational for NavIC |
| PSLV-C61/EOS-9 | Earth Observation | 18 May 2025 | Aborted | Failure | Third-stage malfunction midway through ascent |
| NISAR | Earth Observation (NASA collab) | 2025 | Success | Major Success | L-Band/S-Band radar; landmark NASA-ISRO partnership |
| CMS-03 | Navy Communication | Nov 2025 | Nov 2025 | Success | LVM-3 heavy lift; military communications satellite |
| BlueBird Block-2 | Commercial (US payload) | Dec 2025 | Dec 2025 | Success | LVM-3; ATS SpaceMobile contract |
| Gaganyaan (Uncrewed) | Human Spaceflight | End-2025 | Delayed to 2027 | Pending | Manpower prioritisation causing delays |
| NVS-03 | NavIC (Navigation) | End-2025 | Delayed to 2026+ | Pending | Follow-on after NVS-02 partial failure |
| Industry PSLV | Commercial Launch | End-2024/2025 | Delayed to 2026 | Pending | HAL/L&T contract; private sector transition |
Private Sector Readiness (2026 Outlook):
| Company | Focus | Status | Launch Infrastructure |
|---|---|---|---|
| Skyroot | Launch Vehicles | Closest to 2026 launch | Dependent on ISRO's Sriharikota |
| Others (Dhruva, Pixxel,etc) | Satellites/SaaS | Early stages | No independent launch ports available |
| Kulasekarapattinam Port | New Launch Pad | Under construction | Years from operational (Tamil Nadu) |
Key Expert Insights:
| Metric | ISRO 2025 Reality | Global Context |
|---|---|---|
| Success Rate | 3/5 major launches successful; 2 failures | Failures normal (Chandrayaan precedent) |
| Launch Volume | Lower than peak years | SpaceX dominated global launches |
| Strategic Focus | Gaganyaan, BAS, Chandrayaan-4/5 | Sovereign capabilities > launch numbers |
| Private Transition | HAL/L&T learning curve | SpaceX took 20 years from NASA contracts |
| Competitive Edge | Heavy-lift (LVM3), NISAR, Axiom-4 | Cooperation > LEO competition |
IDN (With Agency Inputs)
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