Gaganyaan Delays Threaten Timelines For India's Human Spaceflight And Space Station Plans
The Gaganyaan program, India’s ambitious human spaceflight initiative, is
experiencing significant delays, creating a domino effect on the nation’s
wider space ambitions. Initially envisaged to coincide with India’s 75th
Independence Day in 2022, the project’s timelines have slipped repeatedly,
first due to the pandemic, and now as a result of technological and procedural
bottlenecks.
The first uncrewed flight, which was to take place in December 2024, was
deferred to March 2025, and has now been rescheduled to December 2025, further
compressing an already tight schedule.
The revised plan outlines eight flights under the Gaganyaan program. These are
to include three test missions, two crewed flights, an autonomous docking
mission with the International Space Station (ISS), the deployment of the
first module of the Bharatiya Antariksh Station (BAS), and a subsequent
autonomous docking with BAS-1. Each of these missions is intended to occur at
six-month intervals to ensure adequate time for analysis, rectification of
technical flaws, and implementation of improvements between flights.
Courtesy: Indian Space Post
The cumulative delays in Gaganyaan now endanger the entire planned sequence.
The inaugural crewed mission has already shifted twice and is now slated for
2027. If more slippage occurs at the start of this sequence, all subsequent
milestones, including the docking and construction operations crucial for
India’s space station ambitions, face inevitable postponement. This could
jeopardise the target of operationalising the Bharatiya Antariksh Station by
2035.
ISRO has listed several critical qualifying tests that are yet to be conducted
in full, including additional integrated air drop tests, test vehicle
missions, and pad abort tests. Thus far, only a single instance of each has
been completed, and many are still outstanding prior to the first crewed
launch. The failure to execute timely parachute deployment and safety
mechanism validations means the margin for error is now exceedingly slim.
The stacking of the HLVM3-G1-OM1 human-rated launcher began in earnest last
year, but routine delays have reduced the buffer between each essential
mission. The current schedule is so compressed that any failure or anomaly
detected during a flight could force ISRO to extend the timeline even further
as investigation and corrective actions would disrupt the six-month cadence
between launches.
Financially, the Gaganyaan program remains a high-priority investment, with
the Union Cabinet approving a budget of ₹10,000 crore in 2018. Since then, the
combination of pandemic-related disruptions and technical hurdles has
effectively removed all leeway from the roadmap. While ISRO’s leadership
continues to project confidence, the absence of any major external challenges
this year places full responsibility for the delays on internal planning and
execution.
Success in the Gaganyaan program is now entwined not only with India’s
aspirations for human spaceflight but with its entire vision for a
self-reliant space infrastructure. If these delays cascade into the BAS
timeline or diminish confidence among international partners and the Indian
public, the opportunity cost may be measured in lost leadership and
competitiveness in the global space sector. For ISRO, returning to a reliable
cadence and aggressively addressing procedural gaps has become an existential
challenge for the country’s ambitions among the stars.
Gaganyaan & BAS Mission Timeline (Revised Projection 2025–2035)
| Mission Phase | Original Target | Revised Target | Key Objective | Delay Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Test Vehicle Abort Mission-1 (TV-D1) | 2023 | Completed | Crew escape system validation | Baseline achieved |
| Test Vehicle Abort Mission-2 (TV-D2) | 2024 | Early 2026 | Abort sequence refinement | Delays uncrewed missions |
| Uncrewed Flight-1 (G1) | Dec 2024 → Mar 2025 | Dec 2025 | First orbital validation flight | Pushes crewed timeline |
| Uncrewed Flight-2 (G2) | Sept 2025 | Mid-2026 | Life support and re-entry system test | Compresses gap before crew mission |
| Uncrewed Flight-3 (G3) | Mar 2026 | Late 2026 | End-to-end systems redundancy validation | Reduced data evaluation window |
| First Crewed Flight (C1) | Dec 2026 | 2027 | Three astronauts in low Earth orbit for 3–5 days | Future roadmap dependent on success |
| Second Crewed Flight (C2) | 2028 | 2028–29 | Extended mission to test habitability | Critical precursor to station construction |
| Autonomous ISS Docking Mission | 2029 | 2030 | Test space rendezvous tech | Must precede BAS docking trials |
| BAS-1 Module Launch | 2031 | 2032–33 | Deploy first Indian space station segment | Dependent on previous human missions |
| BAS-1 Docking Demonstration | 2033 | 2034–35 | Crewed docking and operation | Final step towards operational BAS |
Based On News9Live Report
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